<\/p>\n

<\/strong>Prof. Dr. Ahmet Ercan, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin g\u00fcndeminden d\u00fc\u015fmeyen B\u00fcy\u00fck Marmara Depremi\u2019ne y\u00f6nelik \u00f6zel r\u00f6portaj\u0131m\u0131zda, ba\u015fta Kad\u0131k\u00f6y ve Anadolu Yakas\u0131 olmak \u00fczere \u0130stanbul geneli i\u00e7in \u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalarda bulundu.<\/p>\n

Kad\u0131k\u00f6y ve Ata\u015fehir\u2019in ortas\u0131nda y\u00fckselen Marriott Hotel Asia teras\u0131nda bir araya geldi\u011fimiz \u0130T\u00dc Jeofizik B\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc ve Maltepe \u00dcniversitesi \u0130n\u015faat M\u00fchendisli\u011fi B\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc \u00d6\u011fretim \u00dcyesi Prof. Dr. Ahmet Ercan, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki s\u00fcre\u00e7te beklenen B\u00fcy\u00fck Marmara Depremi\u2019ne y\u00f6nelik hem pozitif, hem de negatif konu\u015ftu. \u0130\u015fte milyonlar\u0131n korkulu r\u00fcyas\u0131 \u201cb\u00fcy\u00fck felaket\u201d \u00f6ncesi, Prof. Ercan\u2019\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131\u2026<\/p>\n

Kad\u0131k\u00f6y\u2019\u00fcn hayat\u0131n\u0131zdaki yeri nedir?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ben Ortak\u00f6y\u2019de oturuyorum, ama Kad\u0131k\u00f6y a\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131y\u0131m\u2026 Biniyorum vapura, iniyorum iskelede\u2026 Atl\u0131yorum bisikletime \u00f6nce Alt\u0131yol, oradan Yo\u011furt\u00e7u Park\u0131, Kalam\u0131\u015f, Caddebostan; istesen Tuzla\u2019ya kadar gidersin. \u0130nsan\u0131 bile ba\u015fkad\u0131r Kad\u0131k\u00f6y\u2019\u00fcn, halk\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ayd\u0131nl\u0131k y\u00fcz\u00fcd\u00fcr. Demokratik kitle \u00f6rg\u00fctleri etkindir. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de birbirine benzerlik g\u00f6steren iki k\u00f6kl\u00fc yer vard\u0131r; \u0130zmir ve Kad\u0131k\u00f6y\u2026 Yine Kad\u0131k\u00f6y\u2019de bir yer var ki, sormay\u0131n gitsin\u2026<\/p>\n

Neresi?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Kad\u0131k\u00f6y \u00c7ar\u015f\u0131s\u0131\u2026 Muhte\u015fem, tarif edilemez bir atmosfer… Bence korunmal\u0131 \u00e7ar\u015f\u0131, d\u00fcnya miras\u0131 Kad\u0131k\u00f6y \u00c7ar\u015f\u0131s\u0131 bize\u2026<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Peki, Kad\u0131k\u00f6y\u2019\u00fcn depremselli\u011fi hakk\u0131nda neler s\u00f6yleyeceksiniz? Olas\u0131 bir deprem Kad\u0131k\u00f6y\u2019\u00fc hangi oranda etkiler?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Kad\u0131k\u00f6y\u2019\u00fcn sahil kesimleri i\u00e7in iyi konu\u015famayaca\u011f\u0131m. \u0130l\u00e7ede yap\u0131lar\u0131n \u00f6nemli bir k\u0131sm\u0131 ise ne yaz\u0131k ki eski, bak\u0131ms\u0131z… Ancak Kad\u0131k\u00f6y ve Anadolu Yakas\u0131, Marmara Depremi\u2019nden Avrupa Yakas\u0131\u2019na oranla daha az etkilenecek. Yani Anadolu Yakas\u0131 y\u00fczde 35, Avrupa Yakas\u0131 y\u00fczde 65 oran\u0131nda etkilenecek.<\/p>\n

Kad\u0131k\u00f6y\u2019\u00fcn riskli b\u00f6lgelerini de\u011ferlendirecek olursak…<\/strong><\/p>\n

Bak\u0131n, pek dile getirilmeyen ve bilinmeyen, 1999 depreminden sonra geli\u015fen bir fay var; Bostanc\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2026 \u00c7iftlikk\u00f6y\u2019den Bostanc\u0131\u2019ya kadar uzanan bu k\u0131r\u0131k riskli\u2026 1999 depreminde bu nedenle alev toplar\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Bu k\u0131r\u0131k, aday\u0131 sandvi\u00e7 gibi s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki depremde Fenerbah\u00e7e Burnu \u00f6n\u00fcnden Hali\u00e7 i\u00e7ine, Ey\u00fcp il\u00e7esine kadar b\u00fcy\u00fck bir k\u0131r\u0131lma bekliyorum. Bu, Marmara Denizi\u2019nden ayr\u0131 bir koldur. 6-7 civar\u0131nda bir deprem olas\u0131 bu b\u00f6lgede… Yine R\u0131ht\u0131m gibi deniz kenar\u0131, dere yata\u011f\u0131 ve dolgu alan\u0131 olan b\u00f6lgelerinde risk s\u00f6z konusu\u2026 Fenerbah\u00e7e Spor Kul\u00fcb\u00fc Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Aziz Y\u0131ld\u0131r\u0131m ile birlikte Kad\u0131k\u00f6y\u2019deki tesisleri de bir d\u00f6nem gezmi\u015ftim, yap\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekenleri aktarm\u0131\u015ft\u0131m.<\/p>\n

“MALTEPE ve \u00c7EVRES\u0130 R\u0130SKL\u0130\u2026”<\/strong><\/p>\n

Maltepe, K\u00fc\u00e7\u00fckyal\u0131, Kartal ve Pendik; depremde Kad\u0131k\u00f6y\u2019den daha \u00e7ok olumsuz etkilenecek. K\u0131y\u0131 kesimlerde oturan, yap\u0131lar\u0131 eski ve \u00e7\u00fcr\u00fck olan vatanda\u015flar bir hayli dikkatli olmal\u0131… \u201cAncak y\u00fckseklerde oturanlar da g\u00fcvenli\u201d anlam\u0131na gelmiyor bu… Bizler, tepelere zemin sa\u011flam oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in \u00e7ok katl\u0131 yap\u0131 yapmam\u0131z gerekirken, dayan\u0131ks\u0131z derme \u00e7atma gecekondular yap\u0131yoruz. Bu gecekondu ya da yetersiz yap\u0131lar da bir hayli riskli\u2026 Yine Kartal\u2019\u0131n Fatih Mahallesi ve \u00dcsk\u00fcdar \u00c7ar\u015f\u0131 b\u00f6lgesine dikkat \u00e7ekmek istiyorum.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\u201cDERE YATAKLARINDAN UZAKLA\u015eIN\u2026\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n

Kad\u0131k\u00f6y\u2019de Kurba\u011fal\u0131dere \u00e7evresi riskli… Buralar tamamen dere yata\u011f\u0131 ve \u00fczerinde y\u00fcksek katl\u0131 yap\u0131lar mevcut. Y\u00fcksek katl\u0131 binalarda gerekli \u00f6nlemler al\u0131nmad\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, zemin suyunu \u00e7eken yap\u0131lar depremde b\u00fcy\u00fck hasar g\u00f6r\u00fcr.<\/p>\n

Binalar zemin suyunu nas\u0131l \u00e7eker? \u00c7\u00fcr\u00fck yap\u0131lar\u0131 nas\u0131l anlar\u0131z? Zemin suyunu engellemek i\u00e7in neler yap\u0131lmal\u0131d\u0131r?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Mimar Sinan, y\u00fczy\u0131llar \u00f6ncesinden zemin suyunun binalara verdi\u011fi zarar\u0131 bildi\u011fi ve \u00f6nlemini ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in yap\u0131lar\u0131 sa\u011flamd\u0131r. Bu nedenle Osmanl\u0131 d\u00f6neminde in\u015fa edilen bir\u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck yap\u0131larda zemin sular\u0131 \u00e7ekilmi\u015f, yeralt\u0131 sular\u0131n\u0131n yataklar\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirilmi\u015ftir. Ancak, ne yaz\u0131k ki biz Mimar Sinan\u2019\u0131n bildi\u011fi \u00f6nemli bilgileri 1960\u2019l\u0131 y\u0131llarda yabanc\u0131 kaynaklardan \u00f6\u011frendik. Tarihini bilmeyen, tarihiyle y\u00fczle\u015fir. Zemin sular\u0131, \u00e7e\u015fitli teknolojik y\u00f6ntemlerle kurutulabilir. Aksi takdirde, bina zamanla yerden en yukar\u0131ya do\u011fru suyu emer. Betonlar\u0131n i\u00e7indeki demirler paslan\u0131r. Bu binan\u0131n biti\u015fidir. Deprem esnas\u0131nda paslanan demirler, i\u015flevini g\u00f6remez ve y\u0131k\u0131m meydana gelir. Bina demirlerinin pasland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rmek, \u00e7\u00fcr\u00fck oldu\u011funu anlamaya yeterlidir.<\/p>\n

\u201c\u0130LK 20 METREDE SU VARSA, AYETEL K\u00dcRS\u0130 OKUYUN\u2026\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n

Kad\u0131k\u00f6yl\u00fcler ve t\u00fcm \u0130stanbullular \u015funu bilmeli: Binalar\u0131n\u0131z\u0131n zemininde ilk 20 metrede su varsa, Ayet-el K\u00fcrsi okuyun. Ger\u00e7ekten durum bu kadar ciddi… Zemindeki su her \u015feyi de\u011fi\u015ftiriyor, gere\u011fi yap\u0131lmam\u0131\u015fsa\u2026<\/p>\n

Kentsel d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm s\u00fcreci i\u00e7in neler s\u00f6yleyeceksiniz?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Kentsel d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcmden \u00f6nce \u015fehir planlamas\u0131 yap\u0131lmal\u0131. Kad\u0131k\u00f6y ve \u0130stanbul\u2019un sorunlar\u0131 nelerdir; ula\u015f\u0131m, zaman yetimi, verimsiz ya\u015fam, toplumsal gerginlikler, ye\u015fil alan azl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve oksijen alamama, g\u00fcr\u00fclt\u00fc kirlili\u011fi\u2026 Bunlar\u0131n hepsi birbirleriyle ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131d\u0131r. Gereksizce klakson \u00e7almak bile, uygars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n g\u00f6stergesidir. Binalar birle\u015ftirilip, ye\u015fil alanlar\u0131n olu\u015fmas\u0131 sa\u011flanmal\u0131. \u015eehirdeki ki\u015fi yo\u011funlu\u011fu da azalt\u0131lmal\u0131. Ben mevcut \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalara kentsel d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm de\u011fil, yap\u0131sal d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm diyorum. Yap\u0131lar de\u011fi\u015fiyor, ancak \u015fehir ayn\u0131, s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131 ile ba\u015f ba\u015fa\u2026<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Peki Fikirtepe?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Fikirtepe\u2019deki d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fc bitince g\u00f6rece\u011fiz. \u00c7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n biraz \u00f6nce bahsetti\u011fim yap\u0131sal d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm de\u011fil de, kentsel d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcn kendisi oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yleyebilirim. Yani olumlu. Ancak yine burada olumsuz bir durum da s\u00f6z konusu; o yerler yoksul halk\u0131n elinden \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar el koydu. B\u00f6lgeye haks\u0131z kazan\u00e7 geldi.<\/p>\n

\u201c\u0130STANBUL\u2019UN B\u0130R KENT ORMANI YOK\u2026\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0130stanbul\u2019da co\u011frafya sabit, n\u00fcfus ise s\u00fcrekli art\u0131yor. Bak\u0131n, \u015fehirde bir kent orman\u0131 bile yok. \u0130stedi\u011fin zaman soluk alaca\u011f\u0131n, rahat\u00e7a gazeteni okuyabilece\u011fin yerler her ge\u00e7en g\u00fcn azal\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Maltepe sahilindeki dolgu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 i\u00e7in neler s\u00f6yleyeceksiniz?<\/strong><\/p>\n

G\u00fczel bir proje, destekliyorum da\u2026 Maltepe i\u00e7in de gerekliydi bence. Yeterli arazi bulunmayan Maltepe\u2019de insanlar\u0131n gezece\u011fi, e\u011flenece\u011fi bir co\u011frafyan\u0131n olu\u015fmas\u0131 bir hayli iyi\u2026 Ancak, umar\u0131m ilerleyen y\u0131llarda \u00fczerine binalar yap\u0131lmaz. O zaman k\u00f6t\u00fc olur i\u015fte.<\/p>\n

\u0130stanbul\u2019da beklenen depremin tarihi nedir?<\/strong><\/p>\n

2045 y\u0131l\u0131 ve yak\u0131n \u00e7evresi, b\u00fcy\u00fck depremi bekledi\u011fim d\u00f6nemlerdir. Biz, matematiksel olarak hesaplad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda ortaya bu veri \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. 2045\u2019ten \u00f6nce deprem \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 olur. Ancak deprem bekleme s\u00fcrecine girerek 2150 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar da ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmeyebilir. Her \u015feyden \u00f6nce unutmamal\u0131y\u0131z ki, \u201cBinalar\u0131 deprem de\u011fil, insan y\u0131kar.\u201d Bir yerde b\u00fcy\u00fck bir deprem olmu\u015fsa, yine ayn\u0131 yerde belirli bir zaman i\u00e7inde b\u00fcy\u00fck depremler olacakt\u0131r. Bu tarihte de b\u00f6yle olmu\u015ftur\u2026<\/p>\n

Marmara\u2019da hangi b\u00f6lge i\u00e7in risk ne kadar?<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u015e\u00f6yle s\u00f6yleyeyim, deprem y\u00fczde 78 ihtimalle \u0130stanbul kolunda olacak. Geri kalan ihtimaller ise di\u011fer kollar i\u00e7indir. Avc\u0131lar, B\u00fcy\u00fck\u00e7ekmece\u2019nin bir k\u0131sm\u0131 ve \u00e7evresinde \u015fiddetli y\u0131k\u0131m olabilir. Kad\u0131k\u00f6y biraz daha \u015fansl\u0131\u2026<\/p>\n

\u201cKENTSEL D\u00d6N\u00dc\u015e\u00dcM M\u00dc, KENTSEL BOZU\u015eUM MU?\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n

Bak\u0131n, Bursa Osmangazi bir kentsel bozu\u015fum \u00f6rne\u011fi. Bozu\u015fum diyorum \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm olamaz. \u015eehrin g\u00f6be\u011finde eski yap\u0131lar y\u0131k\u0131ld\u0131, yerine onlarca katl\u0131 dev bloklar dikildi. Bu mu kentsel d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm? Bu resmen kentsel bozu\u015fumdur. \u015eehrin i\u00e7ine insanlar t\u0131p\u0131\u015f t\u0131p\u0131\u015f s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Ye\u015fil alanlar\u0131n kazand\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekirken dev bloklar i\u00e7 i\u00e7e yerle\u015ftirilmi\u015ftir. Yap\u0131sal d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm olmu\u015ftur. Ne kadar \u00e7irkin bir tablo\u2026<\/p>\n

\u201cLAYIK DE\u011e\u0130L M\u0130Y\u0130Z?\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u015e\u00f6yle bir bat\u0131l\u0131lar\u0131n \u015fehir sistemine bakal\u0131m. D\u00fczenli da\u011f\u0131lm\u0131\u015f, ye\u015fillerle bezenmi\u015f kentler. Bizler ise kendimizi beton bloklara hapsediyoruz. Bat\u0131l\u0131lar\u0131n ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 o r\u00fcya gibi evlere, \u015fehirlere bizler lay\u0131k de\u011fil miyiz? Elbet fazlas\u0131yla lay\u0131\u011f\u0131z, planl\u0131 olmal\u0131y\u0131z, planl\u0131\u2026<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Prof. Dr. Ahmet Ercan, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin g\u00fcndeminden d\u00fc\u015fmeyen B\u00fcy\u00fck Marmara Depremi\u2019ne y\u00f6nelik \u00f6zel r\u00f6portaj\u0131m\u0131zda, ba\u015fta Kad\u0131k\u00f6y ve Anadolu…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":57964,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[637,6847,23109,39,23110,13789,10163,6600,23108],"yoast_head":"\n